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Why Your Gut Feeling Needs DataLet’s be real for a second. When you watch a team win three straight games, your brain screams, “They are uns

By MatchPoint•September 26, 2026

Why Your Gut Feeling Needs DataLet’s be real for a second. When you watch a team win three straight games, your brain screams, “They are unstoppable!” But then they lose the next two, and suddenly they look fragile. This is a classic cognitive bias. Human memory is heavily weighted toward recent events, a phenomenon psychologists call recency bias. In esports, where rosters change and meta shifts happen fast, relying on gut feeling is a dangerous way to predict outcomes. The problem is not that your intuition is bad; it is that it is incomplete. You are seeing highlights, not the...

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