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The Illusion of the Big Score We are conditioned to look for the 10x return. The narrative of the trader who bought a cheap call option and watched it explode into a fortune is seductive. However, that narrative is usually a story of survivorship bias, not a replicable system. When you focus on occasional lucky outcomes, you are gambling. When you focus on progress systems, you are trading. The Math of Consistency Confidence comes from predictability, not luck. A system that produces a 60 percent win rate with a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio requires ten consecutive wins to recover from a...